Monday, November 14, 2016

Say it ain't so, Joe.

Whoa, wake me up. I am having this horrible very realistic nightmare. Donald Trump has been elected President of the United States.

What in the crying in the fuck just happened? How could 60,371,182 people be so incredibly heads-up-their-asses fucking gullible? Why the mass disaffection with and from reality? The economic numbers (GDP growing / unemployment down) with things way better than what Romney promised in the heat of the 2012 campaign. Inflation is non-existent. Stock market is up. The real estate market has recovered. The US economy is doing way better than Europe's or Japan's. In fact the US is a rare bright spot globally. But I guess these 60,371,182 stupid shits don't care for facts they prefer the Trumpian/GOP faux dystopia. The pat answer is that the white working class is pissed and are not taking it anymore. They want their semi-skilled decent paying (but boring) factory jobs back and did see not it coming by way of a continuation of Obamanomics. And those are the ones that swung the election.. But what about the rest of the Trumpians who are doing OK, thank you, and making well over $60k a year? The answer is they are all plugged into the three Big Lie machines: Fox News, right wing talk radio and the Briebart/ Drudge conspiracy bullshit spewing blogosphere. Tell me again how the Internet was going to be a force for progressive change. 

The trouble with the First Amendment and the (necessary) free press that it supports is that the free speech also allows the freedom to spew out boldface lies and un-provable assertions, and go as far from reality as gullible followers will tolerate – and that's a long ways, just look at organized religion. We are way beyond the quaint old printed word of our Constitutional architect's day. Now with electronic media lip readers and functional illiterates can be fed lies, fact-spun propaganda and hate speech - almost instantly. Our new President knows this well with his perchance for Twittering out provocative crap to roil (or placate) his 60 million dupes.

I had hoped once the full gravity of President-elect Trumps situation sunk in and the byzantine complexity of the nuts and bolts of implementing his wide array of wild promises, that a new sober presidential Donald Trump would start to emerge.That has not happened yet. On 60 Minutes last night it was same old orange haired ogre. Without a hapless opponent to demean and vilify  he had nothing significant to say other than repeat his usual overused superlatives and hackneys adjectives- such as “terrific” and say former vilified foes (like Barack Obama) have now suddenly become “nice people”. His limited vocabulary and lack of intellectual depth makes George W. Bush look like Winston Churchill. How did sixty million people who see such a lightweight as their political messiah?

On 60 Minutes and in his meeting with Obama, Trump seemed seemed stressed and uncomfortable. He didn't seem that happy for a guy who just won the election for “president of the world”. He knows he is out of his depth. I think he loved the rock star limelight and the fun of egging on his adoring fans by promising them the sun, moon and stars. Now that the brutal complexity of each and every issue that he hammered the ineptness of the establishment on is dawning on him, he is saying whoa, wait a minute. He must be realizing  after his Herculean effort and masses of money spent that he has stepped into some real heavy shit.  As others have said he does not seem to have the temperament for the job. Will he grow into it? My feeling is the radical right in the Republican Party (which is all of 'em) will take over. If he has any integrity and tries to stick with all his contradictory but difficult if not impossible to fulfill promises he will have to confront key GOP ultra neoliberal ideologues like Paul Ryan, if he doesn't his base will turn on him.

In all honesty I don't have a clue as to what is going to happen. No one does. Hold on to your hats, folks, it will be quite a ride.

Sunday, October 2, 2016

A Debatable Matter


It seems like as a nation we are increasingly becoming a dysfunctional mess. Americans are living in two separate universes - politically, ideologically and culturally.  Furthermore we have an economy that on paper is chugging right along but for many it seems stuck in neutral. To make matters worse both political parties are controlled by hacks and functionaries. And to top it off our Supreme Court, our ultimate legal authority, is guided by hard coded ideologies rather than an evolving objective interpretation of the Constitution.

Now it's presidential election time and one party has forced upon us a 'heir apparent' as if we had to continually tap into some kind stock of political-aristocratic families for leaders. The other party having tried to do the same with the hapless Jeb Bush has ended with up a dangerous usurper as their candidate.  As bad as the Demos are, the Repubs are far worse having long since gone off the deep end.  They have all lost credibility with most thinking people and certainly internationally by adopting a flat earth society approach to science and letting Christian fundamentalists bible-thumpers, a powerful gun lobby and oil companies commandeer their party. This while deviously relying on a voting demographic that hates reason and revels on irrational contempt. They have callously nurtured a Redneckian strain of Americana that thrives on fear and loathing of 'the Other' be it  blacks, native Americans, gays, liberals, environmentalists, immigrants, Muslims, elites, eggheads, hippies, you name it.  But to the  GOP's collective embarrassment their whole strategy has blown up in their faces. Now to their befuddlement they have been outmaneuvered by a garden variety demagogue as the 'ordinary folks' they relied on for votes have rebelled and produced the most absurd presidential candidate in American history.

With an unpopular hand picked heir apparent Democrat on one side and a madman Republican demagogue on the other we arrive at the televised Presidential  Debates - the big show. The presidential debates are always a media circus of the first magnitude with.over the top hoopla and lots of posturing but short on content.  The candidates will always promise way more than they have any chance of delivering. And the viewer-voters  are supposed to pretend to believe what they hear. It's all a fine show with the hope that in the process their candidate will expose the other side's candidate for a fool.  For the candidates the main hope is to demolish their opponent with a freshly minted perfect ad hoc rebuttal (AKA 'a zinger'). But so much of it is canned, choreographed and redundant since each has side has practiced lines like actors for a school play. Functionally the debates this late in the game are all about attracting the low information undecided voters in so-called "battleground states".  But this time it is also (for HRC, anyway) about corralling back into the fold the erstwhile Sanderinistas, many who are stilled seriously miffed at the shenanigans of the Demo Party big wigs who ramrodded in an unpopular candidate despite their candidate's strength and appeal especially among the white working class.


In any case by all accounts (except for the most Trumpian partisans) the first debate was a resounding defeat for  Project Donald. Viewers saw a  smiling, perky and well informed Hillery next to a sour, grumpy, scowling and accusatory Mean Mr Mustard.  More importantly the abject emptiness of his entire endeavor was on full display.  All that most people can remember about Mr Trump from the first debate was serial rude interruptions and speak-overs and gruff denials of past (proven) prevarication framed by his patent stump speech material which always contains overwrought accounts of a once great country now in serious economic and geopolitical peril.

Granted much is amiss in the US of A and the world in general but certainly the The Donald is not up to the job fixing anything. The devil that you don't know is clearly light years more dangerous than the one you do know. Despite one's grievances with Obama, HRC's implicit promise to keep the Obama ship steady as you go clearly points to one needing to vote for HRC - for better or worse. 


Even if it's a foregone conclusion that HRC will carry your state by a wide margin, one should consider voting for her just to get her popular vote count as high as possible   If she wins the overall election by a tiny margin or even worse loses the popular vote but squeaks by via the electoral college, the disgruntled Trumpians (replacing the nut case Tea Partiers) within the ever-whacho Republican Party will make Obama's bitter relationship look like a lovefest.  Of course that may happen anyway.

Polls tell us that many younger voters are refusing to hold their noses and vote for HRC.  Yet Jill Stein of the Greens is only at polling at a measly 7%.".  Apparently many of them say they are now going to (stupidly) use their 'protest vote' for that clown from the Libertarian Party Gary Johnson, probably because he's in favor legalization of marijuana  (isn't everybody?). This even though he thinks the government should do nothing about confronting global warming (let the corporations handle it as they are so wise and humane) and he certainly as a libertarian has no interest in governmental help in funding college educations. (Also he's not so good at geography  - or international affairs.)  Back in 2000 many of us in states in which Al Gore was expected to win overwhelming (like Calif) voted for Ralph Nader as the Green Party candidate because we were trying to get the Green Party up to a certain % nationally so as to become a functional third party.  Jill Stein is not even close to where Nader was.

The main thing here is that four years of Trump will be an unmitigated disaster for the environment and the Supreme Court even if nothing else bad happens (like declaring national bankruptcy or nuking Iran or North Korea). The Democrats may be part of the same dual-party continuum of corporate control and are no better than Repubs on many important issues but at least they acknowledge we are on the brink of something we as a species of have never faced before - irreparable damage to our entire global ecosystem.  Vote fof  HRC even if you can't stand her.  It does matter!



Monday, July 25, 2016

HRC vs The Orange Ogre

We now face another prime time over-hyped boring spectacle with a capital S (see Society of the Spectacle). This time it features the ever blue pants suited Hillary Rodam Clinton starring as Queen Bee in yet another official party convention - yawn. As loathsome as the orange haired orangutan Donald Trump is, Queen Hillary gives him a run for his money. Many mornings of recent her smiling countenance has beamed down at me above the masthead of the NY Times online edition in another paid political ad.  This does not help her or me. Someone should tell her that people who read the NY Times have long sense made up their mind and most will vote for her in November - but many with nostrils  firmly pinched shut. 

There is almost totally unanimity among the chattering classes and MSM regarding Mr Trump's patent unfitness for the presidency. Also there is much wailing and gnashing of teeth over the surreal aspects of Trump's candidacy among the conservative apologist Repub-friendly pundits like David Brooks, Ross Douthat, George Will and their ilk. Even among them Trump's name is now Donald Mudd .

Yet the weakness of the Democratic Party's offering is being overlooked. With the Repubs you can blame their awful candidate on their over reliance on mining redneckian, reactionary and the south-will-rise-again voters. As many have noted with Trump the Repubs are finally reaping a stunted ugly plant from one of their malevolent tainted seeds that has ripened and burst forth. The Repubs have been masters at tapping into deep seated discord in the American lower middle class, a sector they has long since been marinated, in the myth of a forever growth in their material well being - gas gobbling SUVs, ever bigger pickup trucks, palatial size tract homes, steak dinners twice a week,  motorboats, motor homes, Vegas vacations, etc. etc. Ever more materialistic goodies, these are their God given rights as Americans. Now all that has slowed, and for some it's totally stopped - and it's all Obama's fault.

The basic problem is that our two corporate sponsored parties have led to kind break down in democracy. There is no party to really represents the working class. Both parties represent the corporations and upper classes. Both parties have allowed global corporations to call the shots for far too long . A number of interlocking seemingly intractable problems have emerged, and many Americans are extremely dissatisfied. Sometimes as with the white working class these grievances area diffuse and generalized. Right wing media helps to define them. 70% is often cited as the percentage of those who say the country is 'headed in the wrong direction' whatever that means. This 70% are not all potential Trump voters, many are liberal Sanders Democrats. And no amount of citing numbers that tell us how good things are getting by HRC, Obama and Demo bigwigs is going help. However this will be the prime objective of the unfolding Demo Party Convention/Propaganda-fest.

What really drives this malaise? Could it be the decades long spiking in wealth inequality and its problems for the global economy in general (see Thomas Pikitty)? Global aggregate demand which is the mainspring of capitalism is sagging and much of the problem is that too much wealth (potential capital) is sitting idle. This is the unintended side effect of a long global one-sided class war by the 1% against the 99% (with many in top 10% aiding and abetting the 1%). And in many cases it was US led (see US tax policy and malfeasance of the deregulated financial industry). To make matters worse for labor in the wealthy industrialized West, impersonal forces of capitalism dictated that capital (read investment in factories) flow to low wage countries, this in turn leading to their rapid industrialization. Corporate designed trade pacts of course fostered the process. These countries have no labor unions (or environmental protections) to speak of so exploitation (and pollution) can be maximized. And everybody likes the cheap commodities that flow forth including un and under employed US workers. For US workers it will never be 1955 again. The US came out of WWII as a intact industrial hegemonic giant, unmatched, and the US working class was able to join ranks of the lower bourgeoisie thanks in no small part to a strong labor movement - now gone. Those days are over and no empty promises by orange haired demagogues or blue suited queen bees can turn back them clock.

Discord on the left includes the awareness one of the two parties (probably tactically) refuses to cooperate even on a common sense level like maintaining the infrastructure as it rots out from under us. This even when such a practical investment would put many back to work in decent paying jobs. But even more existentially serious is that this same Neolithic party refuse to even acknowledge the existence of the inexorable world historical catastrophe of climate change. Of course both parties pay blind obedience to major industries that are incestuously integrated into the government that they are elected to run- such as the defense industry, the medical insurance/pharmaceutical industry and many others as privatization of the public sector proceeds. Underpinning all of this is an unspoken acceptance by both parties (with HRC as a perfect example) of neoliberal economic ideology.

As Trump rises in the polls from a bounce from his absurd Leni Rafinstal Nuremberg Rally style Republican Convention extravaganza, the Demos prepare for theirs. Will the Demos rue the day they let the corrupt DNC shepherd in “status quo annie”, Hillary Clinton, and pulled out all stops to block a truly viable candidate who represented a real departure from the status quo, Bernie Sanders?
We shall see.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Commentary on the surreal

As shock turns to resignation over another horrific mass shooting, the mass media gorges itself on the tragedy.. This time it's a new record - 49 dead, 6 in ICU and another unknown number maimed or crippled. The motive of the killer still in the midst of being untangled by the 'media sleuths'. And then there is the florid faces of our two presumed presidential candidates in full oratory mode each trying to capitalize on the moment. Was it a result of our overly lenient gun laws? Or was it another instance of another home grown Muslim terrorism? Can these acts of lunacy be stopped by some impossible scheme of barring entry of citizens from entire countries? Was was simply some twisted psychotic response to homosexuality, a (self) hate crime of the first magnitude? The candidates no doubt will tell us.

You have to admit things keep are getting ever weirder. This election is turning out to be something that might have been concocted by a Hollywood screenwriter. The strange, unexpected and unwanted candidacy of Donald Trump as the Grand Old Party's official candidate for the presidency of the US is a descent into the surreal. His unfitness is unparalleled, and it scares the bejesus out of anyone with half a brain including many of the half-witted Republican Party stalwarts .


But to compound the problem we have the Democratic Party foisting off on the voters an unpopular, corporatist, imagination-challenged party hack as their candidate selected autocratically long before the primaries ever really got underway. Furthermore, they pulled out all the stops to make sure a popular progressive challenger was pushed aside.

Have we all given up? We have two candidates each representing a loss of hope from different angles. One is a total charlatan, who himself seems surprised that his shtick has taken him this far - almost to the presidency. He promises a vague return to some ill-defined halcyon past by promising if elected to implement impossible schemes. The other one, a careful an ever-plotting mainstream policy wonk/politician whose charmless style and sense of entitlement, leaves everyone except Demo party acolytes and identity politics driven feminists either bored, disappointed or openly hostile.


  • But beyond the sorry and weird 2016 Presidential election this loss of hope can be seen it in other phenomena:You see it in public and political cynical acquiesce to the biggest threat ever facing the life as we know it – human induced global warming. Our chance to really begin to address this profound crisis in an effective way was probably lost two decades ago. Yet judging from public priorities we are still. incapable of really seriously invoking adequate mitigation measures and enduring the economic dislocation these measures will involve. In fact one entire political party categorically denies a problem even exists.


  • You see it as the ever-wobbly global economy run on a mode of production based on resource and labor exploitation leaving half of the ever expanding world population in abject poverty while most of the new wealth flows ever upwards to a small ruling elite of millionaires and billionaires. Some of them see the handwriting on the wall, but most are engaged in a several decades long one-sided class war.


  • You see it in the embrace of demagogues like Donald Trump in the US and Marie LePen in France and the emerging strength of the far-right in eastern Europe. Such actors use the classic emotional political levers of hate, jingoism and racism offering simplistic solutions to complex problems that always involves xenophobic neofascist scapegoating.

  • You see in the passionate embrace of the most reactionary and brittle interpretations of major world religions, the most dangerous being Saudi Arabia's Wahhabi Muslims, Israel's ultra orthodox Jews and American right wing evangelicals. This unfolding renaissance of religious fundamentalism is resulting in a scourge of terrorism, violent insurgencies and brutal suppression of rights.


  • You see it as the inability of nuclear weapon armed nations to cooperate on some fundamental level and to go beyond primitive hegemonic competition even as full scale war with nuclear weapons amounts to global suicidal. Geopolitical gamesmanship still reigns supreme.


  • You see it in popular culture as a constant outpouring of movies, graphic novels and computer games involving acquiescence to a violent, hopeless, dismal dysotopian future, or else as escapist CGA-driven fantasies of future intergalactic warfare as if war as we know it is inescapable throughout the entire universe.


As we plow deeper into this new millennium the stakes are getting ever higher. Yet how could the stakes get any higher than they became after the advent of nuclear weapons? While these doomsday devices so far have only been used once (well twice actually), we have come very close several times to again using them (accidentally or intentionally) and initiating a nuclear apocalypse. Paradoxically in the past, the Cold War years, their very existence discouraged such a war, since the two major adversaries more or less were equally armed and knew a 'nuclear exchange ' would have ended badly for both sides – and for human civilization - Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). Yet these quintessentially evil devices still exist abundantly and are even scheduled to be 'modernized' by the US and China.

While this horror beyond imaging has been hovered over us for over half a century, another slowly unfolding crisis is now taking center stage: global warming. Yet the public for the most part does not place it high on their list of things to demand that their politicians 'fix' – hence procrastination continues. Only one candidate for US president even systematically mentioned it and now he is gone. Yet no day goes by without another depressing news release of some inexorable change wrought by this rapidly unfolding catastrophe – mass dying of coral reefs, flooding coastal areas and island chains, major droughts, massive loss of ice on both poles, ocean acidification, specie die-offs. The list goes on.


More immediate concerns always dominate and distract. There is always the latest incident of mass carnage, nativist-driven immigration woes, serious economic concerns (like pending recessions/ depressions) and of course 'geopolitics by other means' - localized wars. These stock issues are always easier for politicians to make facile promises on based on their party ideologies and penchant for bullshitting. So these become the issues of the day while the deeper problems are publicly ignored. Admittedly with these 'deeper problems' we have formal global conferences where well informed experts express grave concern and leaders formally sign (usually unenforceable) grand global agreements. But discussion of such larger issues are nowhere to found at election time.


So the deeper question of how to progress as a species never enters the dialogue. And as Kurt Vonnegut used to insert at that end of his great metaphorical sci-fi novels “..and so it goes”.




Monday, April 25, 2016

HRC's Credibilty

In a recent NY Times column, Nicholas Kristoff's while not breaking ranks with the rest of the pro Hillary columnists at the Times, discussed the perception that HRC is dishonest (56% now think she is). The problem is not that HRC is dishonest in any indictable sense, the problem is perception. Crazed GOP voters (except for a few) will irrationally considered her dishonest in the fullest sense of the word and will vote against her in mass. On the other hand, many within her own party (and many independents) believe she is dishonest in terms of what she purports to represent. On the campaign trail HRC is probably no worse than most politicians in bending the truth. As Politifax, a website that Kristoff cites that checks the factual accuracy of politician's statements, Bernie Sanders actually gets a 1% lower rating than HRC in terms of his statements being 'true or mostly true'. The trouble is not that she is a bona fide liar but with her political credibility. There is a huge perceived gap between what her position is on a given issue and where she probably really stands - or will stand as President.

So at this point HRC faces two adversaries: the left within her own party (strong. sizable and not reflected in most of the Democrats currently holding office - which is another problem) and the nutcase GOP. The Democratic Party stalwarts and HRC supporters in the media see them as inadvertent allies and are becoming increasingly shrill and hostile toward the Sanders campaign.  Sanders, knowing HRC is getting an unfair boost from the powerful party apparatus, has ignored the tilted playing field and simply tried to focus on the issues. The left in the Demo Party sees through HRC's shape shifting and political wind surfing. She is a solid corporate Democrat through and through and everyone knows it.

The problem HRC has is that the Clintons' as a team symbolically represent the Democratic Party's 1990's unholy embrace of 'neoliberalism', now acknowledged as toxic by most Americans with its deregulation of banking, offshoring of jobs through corporate-friendly trade pacts and downsizing of government by outsourcing services and jobs.

The perception of her dishonesty by the right is of course due to GOP fabricated propaganda which is typical of their own never ending intellectually dishonest machinations. On the other hand the dishonesty perception by the left is based on the suspicion that her Bernie-lite positions are simply short lived tactical maneuvers designed for winning primaries. But her ace in the hole is the utter absurdity of the Repubs as their out of control post-tea party, low-info base goes bonkers over Trump.

The Democratic Party is more the problem than HRC. Was HRC the best they could come up with? It must be, since they held a coronation and anointed her queen way back when  Bernie Sanders appeared to be just some crank left wing socialist from a hippie state who threw his hat in the ring as the perennial protest candidate.  But this time people are more angry and despairing than ever. Huge swaths of Democratic voters and independent (an increasing subset) resent having a Clinton redux thrust downs their throats. Also in many ways Obama (as hard as he tried) has been a disappointment. Only in his last years in office has he begun to robustly challenge the whacked out theocratic, hard core reactionary, uncompromising, take-no-prisoners gang that is today's GOP.

People are falling from the middle class in droves, suicide and opiate addiction are rampant in its lower rungs, wealth continues to funnel upwards to people who shamelessly flout their obscene levels of avarice for all to see. This while pot holes and rickety bridges and road rage causing traffic jams are a daily experiences everywhere. Yet we continue to funnel hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars and more into lost causes like Afghanistan where billions are siphoned off into Dubai bank accounts, and pump ever more dollars into the military-industrial complex (along with several new 'industrial complexes'). College now means home mortgage level debts for many even as many grads can't find good jobs. And most alarmingly of all, seldom a day goes by without another dire data driven prediction by the scientific community of the coming environmental and geopolitical catastrophes that will be caused by overheating our planet.  We need to redesign our entire economy. Will HRC tackle that?

Sanders not Clinton represents a departure from business as usual, a much needed one. Yet the institutions in place , the two moribund and corrupt centrist parties want to continue to futilely struggle with their horns inextricably entangled like two doomed male elks on the frozen tundra. Huge swaths of voters want a new game. Conservative inclined types, indoctrinated by years of simplistic Reaganian anti-government propaganda as the sole explanation as to why their incomes have plateaued or fallen combined with their own inherent racist and nativist inclinations, have fallen for the siren call of a cheap huckster. Like the 'Sandernistas' on the left, the 'Trumpites' have parted company with their party bosses and their approved choices – Jeb, Rubio and the rest. Only Kasich and the (much hated) Ted Cruz struggle on hoping for some kind of convention coup dete. But most Repub voters prefer The Donald.

As the candidates fight it out state by state in trench warfare for their respective bases, most presidential elections turn on independent voters in swing states. These voters are often low-info, late comers to the fray and likely as not to be swayed by well designed TV spots possibly featuring a shiny new 'presidential' Donald Trump or a 'reasonable personable' Ted Cruz or worse (for Demos) Kasich as a slightly more conservative version of HRC. The questions the Demo Party bosses should be asking themselves is who is best to attract these voters – HRC or Sanders? The Repub Party bosses (the plutocracy) has already answered on their side – anybody but Trump even as they may be stuck with him.

Sunday, March 6, 2016

House of Cards Redux

In the Netflix series House of Cards a ruthless, conniving sociopath maneuvers his way into the White House. Yet reality has trumped (pun intended) fiction. Who would have guessed back when the series first started, when the screenwriters conjured up what they thought was the scariest possible political scenario in which by guile and a little luck a dangerous amoral character takes over the levers of power of the USA, that something equally frightening would occur? Who would have believed back then that Donald Trump, known for his active participation in the absurd anti-Obama Birther cult, famous for being a blowhard egotist and all around shithead, might really take over the levels of power?

But it actually makes sense. For years the GOP has relied on the same misguided and deluded rabble that are now cheering on The Trump. That has been the modern Repub Party's secret of success: demagoguery.  Donald Trump's version is just more raw, more blatant and more appealing to the average redneck.

The question is the who is best to run against him? I just hope the DNC and Demo party establishment in supporting HRC doesn't leave us with a ringer to fight Trump (or even worse Ted Cruz). Many of us believe Sanders has a far better chance of  tapping into the discontent that drives people into the arms of any disingenuous, intellectually dishonest and morally shallow Republican Party presidential candidate.

HRC did well with the black churchlady dominated Demo party in the South with low voter turn out victories but juicy delegate counts, while Sanders has done best in states where the Demo party is mainly white. HRC's apparent lock on black voters is dismaying but probably understandable based on the power of the Demo party's apparatus. How the 'rust belt' states like Michigan vote will be interesting.

The NY Times readers (whatever demographic that represents) apparently are strongly pro-Sanders. In every opportunity to comment on election related articles and columns the “recommend” votes for pro-Sanders comments wildly out number the pro-HRC comments. Most of the pro-Sanders comments include complaints about the perceived pro-HRC slant from the mainstream media especially the influential NYTimes. Again I hope they know what they are doing in sandbagging the Sanders campaign.


Friday, February 26, 2016

HRC vrs Trump

A quick look at the latest state polls today show that (disappointingly) The Donald and The Hillery look to come out as winners after the big Super Tuesday vote. What does this mean? To me it means that Bernie Sanders is getting sandbagged by the Democratic Party establishment and Trump has tapped into a GOP redneckian voter mother lode.  They, along with the centrist media (yes, you the the NY Times and MSNBC to a lesser extent) long since crowned Hillary as the Democratic Party's heir apparent. However so sorry, the Repubs did not get their dynastic choice, Brother Jeb, 

It's too bad that some of the more progressive young(er) guns in the Demos (like Sherrod Brown for instance) have not had enough fire in their bellies to at least step up to bat for poor ole Bernie. Or even better yet run on a FDRian platform. Of course for most of his career Bernie Sanders wasn't even a member the Democratic Party being to far to the left on our truncated political spectrum.  

Unfortunately The Donald looks unstoppable at this point. Hope I'm wrong. Despite the fawning pro-Rubio interpretation by the punditry and the spun mainstream news accounts of last night GOP food fight with its Elvis Presley prepubescent fan type pro-Rubio squealers, Donald marches on. As loathsome as The Donald is, taken alone and compared with the other 'turds in the toilet' - Cruz 'n Rubio, he is actually a refreshing alternative. With his strange almost comical orange hair and standing head shoulders above the shrimpy Marco Rubio, he looked to me almost heroic last night. And as far as I could tell he gave as good as got (and I saw no “sputtering”). What I did hear was an audience salted with anti-trumpites that squealed at every pre-programmed Rubioesque insult aimed at The Donald. Of course the real contest is between the hated Cruz and adored Rubio for the big buck buckaroo's financial largess. The Repub financier are terrified not that The Donald could become an American Mussolini (which is distressingly possible) but that he might emerge as some kind of Republican version of Huey Long. More than his intemperate statements they hate that he strays off their ideological reservation whenever he pleases (Planned Parenthood, Iraq, single payer healthcare). While Ted Cruz is considered too rigid ideologically and the non doctrinaire Trump ideologically off by a country mile, someone like The Rubio is the ticket. He can be easily steered where he needs to go (as The Jeb could have been).

The problem for the Demos is that The Donald if he prevails as the Republican presidential candidate he could if necessary very easily turn hard right and become an ersatz Ted Cruz, or even worse for the Demos suddenly become a Mr Malleable, Marco Rubio. Right now during primary season The Donald is smart enough to play to the rabble that the Repubs have used (and abused) for so long. The question for Paul Krugman and all the Demo stalwarts who are backing HRC is: is she already damaged goods? Can she beat a well financed, polished version of The Donald?  No Repub voter will ever cross over for her. She is everything every Repub loyalists hates in a Democrat: Republican-lite. The Clintons essentially appropriated the GOP's moderate to left wing. Bill Clinton triangulated and eliminated AFDC undermining the right's resonating anti-welfare state meme and actually reduced the Dreaded Deficit yet they are Democrats. Can you imagine a disgruntled, underpaid, white working class, 2nd Amendmentite ever voting for HRC especially after her attacks on Sanders over his so-called pro-gun voting record?  That on top of her unappealing (to me) whinny, know-it-all, ultra feminist style - and now topped off by her (newly minted) 'dyed in the wool' liberal persona. The Donald will have a field day playing the non-pol outsider who is coming to town to clean house. In the “big one” when many Americans actually vote it's been the non-aligned so-called independents, the Repub cross overs and (unfortunately) the low-info voters most susceptible to well designed propaganda (and there will be lots of it) who will again decide the election. That is assuming the actual vote counts are honest which they have not been in the past especially in some crucial swing states.

I hope the bosses of the Democratic Party knows what they are doing throwing their full weight (and super delegates according to the NY Times) behind HRC. The Repub establishment is afraid that The Donald, after his anti-Mex and Muslim tirades  and demonizing will bring out the minorities in full force for the Demos whether the Demos run against an easily red baited admitted “socialist” or a card carrying “liberal re-tread". The Demos are apparently counting on the same thing by running a tired warhorse like HRC who some see as somewhat charisma challenged. But the Demo party is divided - almost half prefer Sanders. The Demo party's left (which is almost half) believes the Clintons fostered the scourge of neoliberalism and therefore contributed greatly to the present state of economic inequality and banksterism (and HRC's chummy relations with Wall Street all but verifies it), while the Demo party's center and right focus only her husband's performance relative to the economy to that of his successor the hapless and disgraced Republican George W. Bush.

A HRC-Rubio match up would be best for both the Demo and Repub plutocrats as it will assure them that it will be more or less be business as usual whomever wins. That is nothing much will get done (the Demos can always use the filibuster to forestall the worst Repub excesses) and the flow of wealth will continue upward. But this is no doubt too glib of a view.  Any Repub in the Whitehouse from Kasich through to the rest would be a total disaster.  Their entire political party lost touch with any semblance of a humane and rational approach to the 20th century much less the 21st century decades ago.  Having them in charge of all three branches of government would truly be the beginning of the End Days.

The best outcome would be a Sanders-Trump match up. Sanders and Trump both address the reality of our present situation. Sanders is an experienced, well informed, respected left of center senator. He clearly represents a departure from business as usual and in office would zealously pursue real change (whether he would be successful until the composition of Congress changes is another matter). But does anyone believe that the Tea Party infested House of Reps led by Ayn Rand admirer Paul Ryan would cooperate with Hillary Clinton any more than they would with Bernie Sanders. On the other hand Donald Trump for all his faults at least has the gumption to propose (albeit bogus) solutions to real problems and is his not beholding to the institutionalized stupidly of the present day Republican Party. He has his own patented version which Sanders could deconstruct.  With Trump people sense a sort of blustery authenticity that they don't see in the pack of phonies and hacks running for Prez as Republicans. An honest argument could result. In a debate some people might even be drawn from Trump to Sanders. Alienated white working class males who relate to the 'take no prisoners' style of Trump might see Sanders as a more reasonable alternative and one who has a real plan for real change not just empty bombastic promises. Sander's authentically radical platform (at least by today's standards) is much more appealing than Hillary Clinton's patently opportunistic feign to the left.

It seems it is time for this kind of high stakes confrontation between these two populist outsiders.  But who knows many months and many surprises await us before November.



Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Tragic Distractions

In the news almost daily is some incident of horrific carnage, usually a suicide bombing somewhere far away. We are spared the gruesome footage of the strewn about body parts but we always get the body count. Or here in the US some fanatic is doing something illegal regarding an abortion clinic (like shooting a doctor) or more recently some guys in cowboy hats are engaged in some kind of armed insurrection for some ill-defined cause. (Then there are the nutcases going berserk with semi-automatic weapons - but that's another matter.)

The question is to what degree is there a connection between this rise in zealotry and our perpetually dysfunction economic order – global capitalism? Capitalism as our means of production is predicated on class dominance. From the offset capitalism was identified as a root cause of much human misery (see Charles Dickens). While it has been an engine of profound transformation much of it positive (if you discount global environmental ecocide), at its heart is anti-democratic domination. It originally emerged by enclosing formally commonly shared land into large scale private estates. The former subsistence farming population was no longer needed and ended piled up into to grim dirty cities working in factories for subsistence wages. The peasantry became the original working class. Two distinct classes thus emerged: owners and workers.

This dichotomy although now stratified and blurred still exists. As industrialization proceeded over the years through hard fought wrangling and bloody struggles the workers managed to claw back some of the value of their labor mainly by joining together in trade unions. As the workers could share in their increasing productivity, their living standards rose.

All through 19th and well into the 20th century until trade unions were legalized there were violent confrontations and class driven political turmoil. The underlying antagonism still persists albeit in a muted form. Since the 1930s in the US and after the end of WWII in Europe a sort of informal truce developed. But since the 1980s especially in the US, class warfare has again erupted as one-side attacks by the ownership class on the working class. Its objective is to dislodge the working class from any political power and economic leverage that it had acquired. In the US the worker class's closest political party, the Democrats, having become ever more reliant on the ownership class's money, provided little resistance and in fact joined in. Many workers abandoned hope that the Democratic Party was their political ally and turned away from politics altogether. Others fell for the lie by the Republican Party that it was not the owners who were their adversaries but the government. It was high taxes not low wages that were the problem. Some workers even became militantly hostile becoming armed anti-government zealots. All the while the system became ever more rigged so that any and all gains from ever increasing worker productivity went to the owners especially the very richest of the owners (currently referred to as 'the plutocracy').

Beyond exploitation another serious problem with capitalism is its tendency to periodically seize up like an internal combustion engine run without oil. Sometimes it is 'merely' a recession, a normal phase of the so-called 'business cycle' resulting in painful but temporary layoffs. However sometimes the whole thing comes crashing down and nearly everyone suffers even the ownership class in full scale Depression. Yet means for mitigating these so-called 'market downturns' was devised in 1930s known as Keynesian counter-cyclical policies (named after famed British economist John Maynard Keynes). Being a sensible means to save capitalism from itself it, was embraced by political parties across the spectrum.

But since the 1980s these policies have gone out of fashion. Keynesian counter-cyclical policy confronts the endemic problem in capitalism of periodic phases of inadequate aggregate demand by having the government step in and borrow money and then spend it on things that everyone needs. But it must be repaid when the economy returns to normal. However both parties misused this government spending which was intended by Keynesians to go to socially oriented projects. With especially the Americans government spending is directed mostly toward military spending (see the Cold War and the rise of the Military Industrial State). With previous rounds of Keynesian “pump priming” not repaid, debt overhang became an issue by the 1970s. Inflation had been a tradeoff for growth but the relationship started to breakdown and along with other issues (the OPEC oil cartel) unsatisfactory levels of inflation emerged. This was when Keynesian counter-cyclical spending started to come under serious attack from the ownership class and their allies in academia accusing it of fostering a 'welfare state' when instead in the US anyway it had created a 'warfare state'.

Functionally the only alternative to counter-cyclical spending by governments to counter market downturns the economy is to become ever more reliant on unplanned waves of speculation induced financial bubbles. These artificial up turns or booms that are not based in producing anything of real value (no new factories or infrastructure) are like using amphetamines - there has to be an inevitable crash. When these speculative bubbles eventually burst sometimes it drives the entire economy into a full fledged depression (see 1929, 1873)

In the late 1960s the ownership class offered under the leadership of the University of Chicago economist Milton Friedman an alternative too Keynesian counter-cyclical policy. They argued simply by varying the money supply, also known as monetary policy, government taxing and spending could be avoided. This by the 1980s mutated into something now called neoliberalism or 'aka market fundamentalism'. These ideas were wholehearted embraced by the ownership class, and still are.

With neoliberalism all lessons from past recessions and depressions were thrown out the window. These 'new liberals' (liberals in European sense, unabashedly pro-capitalist) argue simplistically that a nation's economy is just like a family in hard times. The government instead of stepping in to prod a de/recessionary economy off dead center, it would instead cut back and 'starve the fever'. This presumably would reduce the 'investment stifling' debt overhang. Any fool should have seen this will only aggravate things. If there is inadequate consumer demand, how can less demand due to less government spending do anything but make it worse? Yet somehow the argument has gained credibility. Along with this quackery the neoliberals also argue that all the hard won (but profit reducing) environmental, safety and consumer protections are too constraining and are causing 'market weakness'. So the twin mantras – shrink government spending and deregulate business have become articles of faith and up until recently embraced by both major parties in the US. It still is held as the 'one true faith' of the US GOP and UK Tories.

But finally and quintessentially the most serious problem with capitalism is that either it grows (boom) or it shrinks (bust). But now we find we cannot grow our economies indefinitely. With the need to perpetually encourage expansionary economic growth, there is a terrible downside. The resources of the planet are finite. But even worse are that all of the costs of production are never accounted for especially the costs of producing energy specifically from burning carbon based fossil fuels. The cost of this invisible pollution created by burning fossil fuels is now known to be astronomical. Yet it is a fact of life that producers of goods under capitalism always try to evade external costs (like dumping waste) if they possibly can. Their concern is only short term and specific. Unfortunately under capitalism government's primary concern is to foster economic growth. So they tend unless prodded otherwise to look the other way with regard waste disposal. It now turns out the cost of dumping CO2 waste into the atmosphere for the last 200 years of industrial growth under capitalism is very high indeed. It is changing the planet's very climate  – and very much for the worse. So we find with capitalism were damned if we do and damned if don't. If our global capitalist stops growing (recessions/depressions) and if it grows, we use up all of the finite resources – fresh water, top soil, fisheries, forest ground cover, etc. and in the process overheat the entire planet.

Yet we find religious and economic fundamentalism at the heart all attempts to hold back progress in confronting this crisis. We are disparately in need of something like an evolutionary leap of our species. Yet we are bogged down in 19th and 20th Century reactionary paradigms such as 'market fundamentalism' which is about perpetuating the existing perverse undemocratic power to to allocate the worlds wealth. Whereas religious fundamentalism is about perpetuating outmoded cultural practices entangled in the most primitive literal interpretation of a given religion and engendering horrific terrorist incidents and wars. While each exists on a different planes of reality, material as opposed to metaphysical, both are retrograde and reactionary. Both are dysfunctional responses to the critical problems of our time. While religion fulfills a necessary function in society in addressing (some say falsely) the existential unknowns of mortality and eternity, religion must evolve to coincide with science.

Both forms of fundamentalism rely on ignorance. Un-evolved monotheistic ideology relies on philosophical and scientific ignorance, while the free market ideology relies on the power of political ignorance conveyed by media indoctrination. Our political institutions on the surface are democratic but operationally have been co-oped by the ownership class. Electronic multi media forms re-enforce this domination. This ever improving technology presents a dazzling allure of instant gratification and encourages self indulgence while swamping us with sentimentalism, cultural mythology and unrealistic schmaltz. Entire industries run on it. Advertising whether for commodities or for political candidates relies on psychologically manipulation and artistically alluring agitprop, and is a major factor in public misunderstanding and apathy. Art has been hijacked to imprison and deceive. This deception is routine and total.

To make matters worse particularly alienated or ill-adjusted individuals sometimes stray from this mainstream blitz of happy talk and good vibes imagery and discovers the ugly truth of the consumer society propaganda machine. Tragically some end up embracing what appears as a refreshingly moral polar opposite and they yield to the siren call of religious fundamentalism. Others of a more agnostic inclination fall prey to the political demagoguery of right wing cable news and talk radio both which smuggles in 'free market fundamentalism' as they ride the wave of whatever so-called so-called 'conservative cause' that is currently in the headlines. In Europe this is manifested by joining neo-fascist organizations and political parties.

To further complicate matters, class identify has been losing ground since the late 1970's. Class struggle was once well acknowledged as a major causation of historical process. Class identity still exists but in a much mutated form. The leveling effect of the emergence of the great American middle class undercut working class identity. While membership in good standing in the middle class was emblematic of membership in what was once known as the 'affluent society', the downside was that it hid ones true role in the economy. Working class identity lost importance. This helped the de-unionization of the US work force (now down to 14% ) begun in the 1980s under the Reagan Administration. Instead of a classless society we thought we had a one-class society – the amorphous middle class with variations on the upper and lower ends. Except of of course it was all a myth. We were all in the 99% and the 1% were calling the shots.

Now instead of working class identity and a push for expansion of union membership to regain lost ground, there is widespread concern over falling out of the middle class, but to where? People choose sides based on exaggerated angers evils and dark illogical conspiracies. Of course scapegoating is popular with immigrants being the target. Underpinning all of this is a stubborn residual racism. In post Reagan America many of the now beleaguered caucasian working class see “Big Government” as their foe, not their real enemy, the ownership class. In fact even left politicians like Bernie Sanders talk of the greed of oligarchs and the pernicious behavior of Wall Street not of a dominating ruling class. To become President Obama by default joined the ruling class. That is why so many of his positions on key issues have been such a disappointment.

We are now well into the of the 21st Century with awesome technological capabilities unimaginable even fifty years ago, yet billions still rely for their life's meaning on superannuated theological dogma thousands of years old. Even worse these beliefs often drag along with them brutal and sexist cultural norms and practices. That the world's great religions can evolve and can absorb modernity is well known. Yet pockets of fundamentalist reaction have an disproportionate influence in some of the great religions which moderating internal forces cannot restrain. The interface with the ever-resurfacing inherent contradictions of late monopoly capitalism that keeps millions in abject poverty and illiteracy, causes these same millions through illiteracy and ignorance to allow 'conservative' religious leaders to define their metaphysical reality in the most reactionary and dangerous way.

We are at the very cusp of an an environmental catastrophic of world historical proportions. Yet the balance of international attention is fixed on responding to an irrationality. The Mideast is being torn apart by oil states funding proxy wars over which retrograde versions of the Muslim religion will prevail – Iranian Shiite or Saudi Arabian Sunni and which oil dictatorship, theocracy or monarchy will have geopolitical dominance in the region. Underlying this at least in the minds of the jihadist inspired foot soldiers and loosely affiliated networks of potential terrorists some kind of mad impossible dream of recreating a 10th Century Caliphate in the 21st Century.

Most importantly all of this hinders the US in engaging in necessary, forceful and effective leadership and restructuring our own economy to deal with this real crisis. It is not violent jihadism or the increasingly unstable nature of global capitalist economy but the ever worsening buildup of CO2 that will do us in. We are permanently damaging our entire biosphere in still yet to be undiscovered ways. The already documented ecological damage is bad enough: sea rise, fresh water depletion, ocean acidification, loss of top soil, loss of biological diversity, intensification of weather events, etc, yet scientists expect further bad news as feedback loops kick in.

This entanglement in ideas from our atavistic blood drenched past is perpetuating violent struggles fostering untold human misery. That they no doubt underpinned by deeper geopolitical and ruling class-driven economic forces. But all of it amounts to tragic distraction. All of our wars and class struggles are merely are merely petty internecine squabbles when compared to the cold hard fact of climate change. We are now destroying the very life support systems of our planet. Rome is burning and we are fiddling, playing a stupid 'Games of Thrones'. And we are running out of time!