Sunday, March 22, 2020

Beware the Ides of March

                                         Assassination of Julius Caesar


March 15th, The Ides of March for the Romans was a big day - religious observances were held and debts came due. But in 44 BC it was a bad day for Emperor Julius Caesar. Nineteen centuries later March 15th 1918 was also a bad day for Czar Nicholas II who was forced to abdicate. And now this year's 15thof March we found ourselves also in our own 'Ides of March'. Things are so bad that some believe it will never be same again. Very much like the days after September 11, 2001 when our vulnerability to asymmetric jihadist warfare became tragically obvious. Now a global pandemic is triggering a monumental reset of everything.

To make matters worse this crisis would be difficult enough under the best run Executive Branch one could imagine, but we have the extreme misfortune to have it hit us under the worst run one imaginable. Fortunately the States are taking forceful initiatives on their own. But that will not be enough. We need strong, intelligent, decisive leadership.

We in the Bay Area have been in 'shelter-in-place' since early last week. It feels like it's been a month. When I go to the grocery store I now try to envision others I encounter to be surrounded by an invisible cloud  of Covid-19 viral particles waiting to infect me and myself also surrounded by such a cloud waiting to infect them. And yet I can't. They all look like normal healthy people.

We are told one of the key means to lowering the soaring infection rate is to drastically reduce human interaction. A radical reducing of exposure means practically shutting the whole economy down, Nobody politically right, left or center; religious or atheistic; PHD or high school dropout really has a clue as to where the f**k we're headed. Capitalism in one country much less globally can (painfully) come back from world wars, revolutions, depressions and of course the regular garden variety recession. But what does it mean to have to idle a huge portion of much of the global work force almost simultaneously? Remember, China although claiming 'recovery', still has over 81,000 cases three months into this. As of last Friday (3/20/20) stock markets around world were still in free fall. That means bits and bytes on computers representing trillions and trillions of dollars, euros, yens, whatever of wealth have vanished into cyberspace. In addition to the speculative wealth of all sorts of one-percenters, plungers and assorted fat cats who use the stock market as their Great Casino having taken gotten serious 'haircuts' , the rest of us have also had eaten shit. All of our 'well performing' mutual funds or our cautiously researched favorite stocks that seemed stable and might someday even soar have been pulled into this black vortex.. But what about most Americans who never have enough extra income for such amateur speculation and rely on their 401K stock portfolios managed by 'professionals' for their retirement plans?. Add to that all the state, county  and municipal civil servants with their  retirement plans with managers' who are charged with investing those massive funds in the 'the markets'. And of course there are the insurance companies, and so on.

We are in a 'fine mess' and it wasn't Oliver Hardy's fault..